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Järfälla v IF Karlstad: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Jarfallavallen
1–4
FT
Järfälla 26%Draw 21%IF Karlstad 54% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.81
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultIF Karlstad to win ✓54% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Järfälla vs IF Karlstad: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

IF Karlstad travel to face Järfälla on Saturday 8 August in the Ettan Norra, with Jarfallavallen the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Järfälla are 15th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; IF Karlstad are 7th (upper half) with 45. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Järfälla, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Stockholm Internazionale, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

IF Karlstad, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Enköping, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours IF Karlstad, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Järfälla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Järfälla 1.3 xG, IF Karlstad 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Järfälla 26%, draw 21%, IF Karlstad 54%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Järfälla 1–1 IF Karlstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Järfälla26%fair 3.89 · @3.95
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.95
IF Karlstad54%fair 1.87 · @1.68
3.12Expected goals
1.31Järfälla xG
1.81IF Karlstad xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Järfälla 1.3 – 1.8 IF Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIF Karlstad to win ✓54%1.871.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.55
Draw no betIF Karlstad (draw no bet) ✓68%1.48–
Asian handicapJärfälla +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.631.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
First team to scoreIF Karlstad to score first ✓55%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT IF Karlstad / FT IF Karlstad ✓30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Järfälla – last 6

LWLDLL
1 Augvs Stockholm Internazionale0–4L
28 Jun@ Umeå FC3–1W
23 Junvs Arlanda0–2L
18 Jun@ Hammarby Talang1–1D
13 Junvs Arlanda2–3L
8 Junvs Stocksund1–6L
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

IF Karlstad – last 6

WWLDWW
2 Augvs Enköping2–1W
24 Julvs Örebro Syrianska4–1W
27 Jun@ Arlanda0–1L
21 Jun@ Assyriska FF2–2D
13 Junvs Gefle IF2–0W
10 Jun@ Eker Örebro3–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Järfälla and IF Karlstad.

Järfälla vs IF Karlstad head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?

On our numbers Järfälla have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and IF Karlstad 54%.

How many goals will there be in Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?

Our predicted score is Järfälla 1–1 IF Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Järfälla vs IF Karlstad?

Järfälla vs IF Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Jarfallavallen.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.