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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arlanda v FBK Karlstad: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Midgardsvallen

Arlanda

LLDLW
5–1
FT
Arlanda 44%Draw 21%FBK Karlstad 35% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.27
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultArlanda to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27

Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Arlanda v FBK Karlstad in the Ettan Norra, played at Midgardsvallen. In the table, Arlanda are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; FBK Karlstad are 6th (upper half) with 49.

Current form

Arlanda, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ostersunds FK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

FBK Karlstad, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over GIF Sundsvall, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FBK Karlstad, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Arlanda.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended FBK Karlstad 0–0 Arlanda.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 1.5 xG, FBK Karlstad 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 44%, draw 21%, FBK Karlstad 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 1–1 FBK Karlstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arlanda44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
FBK Karlstad35%fair 2.89 · @3.00
2.74Expected goals
1.47Arlanda xG
1.27FBK Karlstad xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Arlanda 1.5 – 1.3 FBK Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArlanda to win ✓44%2.272.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.50
Draw no betArlanda (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapFBK Karlstad +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
First team to scoreArlanda to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arlanda / FT Arlanda ✓25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.27–

Recent results

Arlanda – last 6

LLDLWW
20 Augvs Ostersunds FK1–2L
16 Aug@ Stockholm Internazionale1–4L
9 Augvs Piteå0–0D
3 Aug@ Hammarby Talang1–5L
25 Julvs Haninge6–1W
27 Junvs IF Karlstad1–0W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FBK Karlstad – last 6

WWDLLW
19 Augvs GIF Sundsvall1–0W
16 Augvs Enköping2–0W
9 Aug@ Hammarby Talang1–1D
1 Augvs Assyriska FF0–2L
26 Junvs Hammarby Talang0–7L
18 Jun@ Sollentuna2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026FBK Karlstad v Arlanda0–0
Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad?

On our numbers Arlanda have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FBK Karlstad 35%.

How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad?

Our predicted score is Arlanda 1–1 FBK Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad?

Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.