Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultKarlberg to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Järfälla vs Karlberg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Järfälla welcome Karlberg to Jarfallavallen for a Ettan Norra fixture on Thursday 17 September (18:30 WAT). In the table, Järfälla are 15th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; Karlberg are 10th (lower half) with 37. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Järfälla, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Gefle IF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Karlberg, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Arlanda, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Karlberg, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Järfälla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Järfälla 1.1 xG, Karlberg 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Järfälla 22%, draw 16%, Karlberg 62%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Karlberg to win (62%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Järfälla 1–2 Karlberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Järfälla22%fair 4.55 · @3.30
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @3.50
Karlberg62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
3.12Expected goals
1.08Järfälla xG
2.04Karlberg xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Järfälla 1.1 – 2.0 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karlberg to win✗
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Draw no bet
Karlberg (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Järfälla +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Karlberg to score first✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Karlberg ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karlberg / FT Karlberg✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Järfälla – last 6
LLLLLL
12 Sep
@ Gefle IF
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs FBK Karlstad
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Assyriska FF
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Sollentuna
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs IF Karlstad
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Karlberg – last 6
WLDLWW
12 Sep
vs Arlanda
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Piteå
0–3
L
31 Aug
@ Hammarby Talang
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs AFC Eskilstuna
0–3
L
18 Aug
vs IK brage
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Stocksund
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Järfälla and Karlberg.
Our pick is Karlberg to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Järfälla vs Karlberg?
On our numbers Järfälla have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Karlberg 62%.
How many goals will there be in Järfälla vs Karlberg?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Järfälla vs Karlberg?
Our predicted score is Järfälla 1–2 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Järfälla vs Karlberg?
Järfälla vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Jarfallavallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
