Piteå 32%Draw 21%Umeå FC 47%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.69
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultUmeå FC to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.86
Piteå vs Umeå FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Piteå welcome Umeå FC to LF Arena for a Ettan Norra fixture on Wednesday 16 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Piteå are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Umeå FC are 8th (upper half) with 43. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Piteå, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AFC Eskilstuna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Umeå FC, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Stockholm Internazionale, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jun 2026) it ended Umeå FC 2–0 Piteå.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piteå 1.4 xG, Umeå FC 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piteå 32%, draw 21%, Umeå FC 47%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piteå 1–1 Umeå FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piteå32%fair 3.12 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Umeå FC47%fair 2.15 · @2.10
3.05Expected goals
1.36Piteå xG
1.69Umeå FC xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Piteå 1.4 – 1.7 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Piteå vs Umeå FC?
On our numbers Piteå have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Umeå FC 47%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs Umeå FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs Umeå FC?
Our predicted score is Piteå 1–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs Umeå FC?
Piteå vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
