Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Hammarby Talang to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHammarby Talang to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceHammarby Talang or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arlanda welcome Hammarby Talang to Midgardsvallen for a Ettan Norra fixture on Monday 21 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Arlanda are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Hammarby Talang are 5th (upper half) with 52. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arlanda, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gefle IF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Hammarby Talang, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vasalund, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arlanda, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Hammarby Talang.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Aug 2026) it ended Hammarby Talang 5–1 Arlanda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 0.9 xG, Hammarby Talang 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 17%, draw 20%, Hammarby Talang 64%.
Lower-risk option: Hammarby Talang or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Hammarby Talang to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hammarby Talang or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 0–1 Hammarby Talang. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arlanda17%fair 5.95 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.50
Hammarby Talang64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
2.84Expected goals
0.88Arlanda xG
1.96Hammarby Talang xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Arlanda 0.9 – 2.0 Hammarby Talang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang?
Our pick is Hammarby Talang or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hammarby Talang 64%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 0–1 Hammarby Talang, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang?
Arlanda vs Hammarby Talang (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
