Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultIF Karlstad to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceIF Karlstad or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Piteå vs IF Karlstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Piteå v IF Karlstad in the Ettan Norra, played at LF Arena. In the table, Piteå are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; IF Karlstad are 7th (upper half) with 45. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Piteå, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Assyriska FF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
IF Karlstad, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Karlberg, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Piteå, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for IF Karlstad.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended IF Karlstad 2–1 Piteå.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piteå 0.9 xG, IF Karlstad 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piteå 18%, draw 23%, IF Karlstad 60%.
Lower-risk option: IF Karlstad or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was IF Karlstad to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piteå 0–1 IF Karlstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piteå18%fair 5.63 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.60
IF Karlstad60%fair 1.68 · @1.62
2.79Expected goals
0.92Piteå xG
1.87IF Karlstad xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Piteå 0.9 – 1.9 IF Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is IF Karlstad to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Piteå vs IF Karlstad?
On our numbers Piteå have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and IF Karlstad 60%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs IF Karlstad?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs IF Karlstad?
Our predicted score is Piteå 0–1 IF Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs IF Karlstad?
Piteå vs IF Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
