Gefle IF 57%Draw 21%Piteå 22%Expected goals 1.88 – 1.08
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultGefle IF to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Gefle IF vs Piteå: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Ettan Norra brings Gefle IF against Piteå at Gavlevallen. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Gefle IF are 9th, lower half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Piteå are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gefle IF, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Enköping, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Piteå, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with IF Karlstad, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Piteå, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Gefle IF.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Piteå 0–2 Gefle IF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gefle IF 1.9 xG, Piteå 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gefle IF 57%, draw 21%, Piteå 22%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gefle IF 1–1 Piteå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gefle IF57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Piteå22%fair 4.50 · @3.75
2.96Expected goals
1.88Gefle IF xG
1.08Piteå xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Gefle IF 1.9 – 1.1 Piteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gefle IF vs Piteå?
On our numbers Gefle IF have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Piteå 22%.
How many goals will there be in Gefle IF vs Piteå?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gefle IF vs Piteå?
Our predicted score is Gefle IF 1–1 Piteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Gefle IF vs Piteå?
Gefle IF vs Piteå (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gavlevallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
