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Karlberg v Vasalund: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Stadshagens IP
3–3
FT
Karlberg 40%Draw 22%Vasalund 38% Expected goals 1.64 – 1.60
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultKarlberg to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Karlberg vs Vasalund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Karlberg welcome Vasalund to Stadshagens IP for a Ettan Norra fixture on Saturday 10 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Karlberg are 10th, lower half, on 37 points after 30 matches; Vasalund are 13th (lower half) with 34. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Karlberg, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sollentuna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Vasalund, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Arlanda, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Karlberg, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Vasalund.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jun 2026) it ended Vasalund 0–4 Karlberg. The last 2 head-to-heads: Karlberg 1 win, Vasalund 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karlberg 1.6 xG, Vasalund 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Karlberg 40%, draw 22%, Vasalund 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karlberg 1–1 Vasalund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Karlberg40%fair 2.49 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.20
Vasalund38%fair 2.63 · @2.40
3.24Expected goals
1.64Karlberg xG
1.60Vasalund xG
67%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Karlberg 1.6 – 1.6 Vasalund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKarlberg to win ✗40%2.492.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.501.50
Draw no betKarlberg (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapVasalund +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.29–
First team to scoreKarlberg to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Karlberg / FT Karlberg ✗23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Karlberg – last 6

WDLLWL
2 Octvs Sollentuna3–2W
27 Sep@ IF Karlstad1–1D
20 Sepvs Stockholm Internazionale0–2L
17 Sep@ Järfälla0–5L
12 Sepvs Arlanda1–0W
6 Sep@ Piteå0–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vasalund – last 6

LWLDLL
4 Octvs Arlanda1–4L
27 Sep@ Gefle IF1–0W
21 Sepvs Assyriska FF1–5L
17 Sepvs Hammarby Talang0–0D
12 Sep@ FBK Karlstad1–2L
6 Sepvs Enköping2–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jun 2026Vasalund v Karlberg0–4
22 Feb 2026Vasalund v Karlberg3–2
Karlberg vs Vasalund head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karlberg vs Vasalund?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Karlberg vs Vasalund?

On our numbers Karlberg have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vasalund 38%.

How many goals will there be in Karlberg vs Vasalund?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karlberg vs Vasalund?

Our predicted score is Karlberg 1–1 Vasalund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Karlberg vs Vasalund?

Karlberg vs Vasalund (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadshagens IP.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.