Al Nasr 61%Draw 19%Khorfakkan 20%Expected goals 2.10 – 0.97
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Al Nasr to win @ 1.88 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Nasr to win ✗61% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Al Nasr v Khorfakkan in the Pro League, played at Al Maktoum Stadium. In the table, Al Nasr are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 7 matches; Khorfakkan are 10th (lower half) with 7.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Nasr 2.1 xG, Khorfakkan 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Nasr 61%, draw 19%, Khorfakkan 20%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Al Nasr to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Nasr 2–0 Khorfakkan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Nasr61%fair 1.65 · @1.88
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.65
Khorfakkan20%fair 4.92 · @3.50
3.07Expected goals
2.10Al Nasr xG
0.97Khorfakkan xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Nasr 2.1 – 1.0 Khorfakkan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Nasr to win✗
61%
1.65
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Draw no bet
Al Nasr (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Al Nasr -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
Al Nasr to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Al Nasr ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Nasr / FT Al Nasr✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Al Nasr
No recent results on record.
Khorfakkan
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Nasr and Khorfakkan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan?
On our numbers Al Nasr have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Khorfakkan 20%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan?
Our predicted score is Al Nasr 2–0 Khorfakkan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan?
Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan (Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Maktoum Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
