Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓92% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.59
Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Nacional welcome Jaguares to Estadio Atanasio Girardot for a Primera A fixture on Tuesday 7 April (02:10 WAT). In the table, Atletico Nacional are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Jaguares are 19th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Nacional, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cucuta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Jaguares, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Millonarios, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Jaguares.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Nacional 2.6 xG, Jaguares 0.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Nacional 77%, draw 15%, Jaguares 8%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Nacional to win (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Jaguares. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Nacional77%fair 1.30 · @1.20
Draw15%fair 6.62 · @6.00
Jaguares8%fair 12.69 · @14.00
3.31Expected goals
2.62Atletico Nacional xG
0.68Jaguares xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.6 – 0.7 Jaguares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Nacional
Jaguares
Attack vs Primera A average
+48%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+42%
Our expected goals here
3.08
0.72
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.00
Draw no bet
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Nacional -1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
First team to score
Atletico Nacional to score first
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✗
55%
1.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Atletico Nacional – last 6
DWWLWW
2 Apr
vs Cucuta
0–0
D
30 Mar
@ Deportivo Pasto
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Internacional de Bogota
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Millonarios
0–3
L
14 Mar
vs Llaneros
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ Junior
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jaguares – last 6
WLDLLL
3 Apr
vs Millonarios
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Deportes Tolima
1–3
L
24 Mar
vs Águilas Doradas
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Alianza Valledupar
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Llaneros
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Jaguares.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Jaguares 8%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Jaguares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares?
Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
