Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fortaleza FC travel to face Atletico Nacional on Friday 13 February in the Primera A, with Estadio Atanasio Girardot the venue – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT. In the table, Atletico Nacional are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Fortaleza FC are 20th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Nacional 2.1 xG, Fortaleza FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Nacional 70%, draw 19%, Fortaleza FC 10%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Fortaleza FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Nacional70%fair 1.42 · @1.37
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.20
Fortaleza FC10%fair 9.70 · @9.60
2.71Expected goals
2.10Atletico Nacional xG
0.62Fortaleza FC xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.1 – 0.6 Fortaleza FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Nacional
Fortaleza FC
Attack vs Primera A average
+48%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+21%
Our expected goals here
2.63
0.70
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
70%
1.42
1.37
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.60
Draw no bet
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Nacional -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
Atletico Nacional to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.87
–
Recent results
Atletico Nacional
No recent results on record.
Fortaleza FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Fortaleza FC.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fortaleza FC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Fortaleza FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC?
Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
