Jaguares 26%Draw 26%Santa Fe 48%Expected goals 0.98 – 1.52
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSanta Fe to win ✗48% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Jaguares vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Wednesday 18 February: Jaguares v Santa Fe in the Primera A, played at Estadio Jaraguay. In the table, Jaguares are 19th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 18 matches; Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 31. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jaguares 1.0 xG, Santa Fe 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jaguares 26%, draw 26%, Santa Fe 48%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jaguares 1–1 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jaguares26%fair 3.79 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.10
Santa Fe48%fair 2.09 · @2.16
2.51Expected goals
0.98Jaguares xG
1.52Santa Fe xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Jaguares 1.0 – 1.5 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jaguares
Santa Fe
Attack vs Primera A average
-16%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
+42%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.04
1.79
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Fe to win✗
48%
2.09
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Santa Fe (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Jaguares +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Santa Fe to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Jaguares
No recent results on record.
Santa Fe – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ America de Cali
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jaguares and Santa Fe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Jaguares vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Santa Fe 48%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 1–1 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs Santa Fe?
Jaguares vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
