Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMillonarios to win ✓68% · @1.46
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 February the Primera A brings Millonarios against Deportivo Pereira at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Millonarios are 7th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pereira are 17th (lower half) with 17.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Millonarios 1.9 xG, Deportivo Pereira 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Millonarios 68%, draw 21%, Deportivo Pereira 11%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millonarios 1–0 Deportivo Pereira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Millonarios68%fair 1.48 · @1.46
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.95
Deportivo Pereira11%fair 9.05 · @7.70
2.57Expected goals
1.93Millonarios xG
0.64Deportivo Pereira xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Millonarios 1.9 – 0.6 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Millonarios
Deportivo Pereira
Attack vs Primera A average
+17%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+19%
Our expected goals here
2.04
0.69
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millonarios to win✓
68%
1.48
1.46
Double chance
Millonarios or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Millonarios (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Millonarios -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Millonarios to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Millonarios ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Millonarios – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Internacional de Bogota
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Deportivo Pereira – last 2
DD
21 Feb
vs Deportivo Pasto
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Deportivo Pereira.
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportivo Pereira 11%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our predicted score is Millonarios 1–0 Deportivo Pereira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira?
Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
