Águilas Doradas 28%Draw 26%Atletico Nacional 46%Expected goals 1.06 – 1.43
76%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win46% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.15
Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Nacional travel to face Águilas Doradas on Saturday 7 March in the Primera A, with Estadio Alberto Grisales the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Águilas Doradas are 10th, upper half, on 25 points after 18 matches; Atletico Nacional are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Nacional, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Millonarios, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Águilas Doradas 1.1 xG, Atletico Nacional 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Águilas Doradas 28%, draw 26%, Atletico Nacional 46%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águilas Doradas 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Águilas Doradas28%fair 3.62 · @3.85
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.35
Atletico Nacional46%fair 2.16 · @1.97
2.49Expected goals
1.06Águilas Doradas xG
1.43Atletico Nacional xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Águilas Doradas 1.1 – 1.4 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Águilas Doradas
Atletico Nacional
Attack vs Primera A average
-7%
+48%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.10
1.42
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win
46%
2.16
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.90
Draw no bet
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Águilas Doradas +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Atletico Nacional to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Águilas Doradas – last 1
W
23 Feb
@ Chico
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atletico Nacional – last 6
LLWWLW
5 Mar
vs Millonarios
1–3
L
2 Mar
@ Deportes Tolima
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Santa Fe
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Alianza Valledupar
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Cali
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Fortaleza FC
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas Doradas and Atletico Nacional.
What is the prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Águilas Doradas have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Nacional 46%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Águilas Doradas 1–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional?
Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Grisales.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
