Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Fe travel to face Deportes Tolima on Sunday 5 April in the Primera A, with Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Deportes Tolima are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 31.
Current form
Deportes Tolima, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Águilas Doradas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Santa Fe, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Llaneros, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportes Tolima, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Santa Fe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Tolima 1.4 xG, Santa Fe 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Tolima 51%, draw 25%, Santa Fe 23%.
Lower-risk option: Deportes Tolima or draw (77%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Tolima 1–1 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Tolima51%fair 1.95 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.55
Santa Fe23%fair 4.30 · @4.90
2.41Expected goals
1.39Deportes Tolima xG
1.02Santa Fe xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.4 – 1.0 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe
Attack vs Primera A average
+1%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.18
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win✗
51%
1.95
1.70
Double chance
Deportes Tolima or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportes Tolima (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Santa Fe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Deportes Tolima to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Deportes Tolima – last 6
WWDWWL
1 Apr
vs Águilas Doradas
4–1
W
29 Mar
vs Jaguares
3–1
W
23 Mar
@ Chico
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Santa Fe – last 6
LWWDDL
2 Apr
vs Llaneros
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Atletico Nacional
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santa Fe 23%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–1 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?
Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
