Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: America de Cali to win @ 2.92 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✗42% · @2.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Pasto welcome America de Cali to Estadio Departamental Libertad for a Primera A fixture on Tuesday 10 March (02:30 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Pasto are 18th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 18 matches; America de Cali are 2nd (among the top four) with 36. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
America de Cali, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bucaramanga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Pasto 0.9 xG, America de Cali 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Pasto 30%, draw 28%, America de Cali 42%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: America de Cali to win @2.92 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Pasto 1–1 America de Cali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Pasto30%fair 3.28 · @2.56
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.98
America de Cali42%fair 2.40 · @2.92
2.24Expected goals
0.90Deportivo Pasto xG
1.35America de Cali xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–010%
1–29%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 0.9 – 1.3 America de Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Pasto
America de Cali
Attack vs Primera A average
-29%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
-32%
Our expected goals here
0.71
1.48
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win✗
42%
2.40
2.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
America de Cali (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Pasto +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
America de Cali to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.60
–
Recent results
Deportivo Pasto – last 2
DD
21 Feb
@ Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
America de Cali – last 4
WWLW
6 Mar
vs Bucaramanga
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Jaguares
3–0
W
19 Feb
@ Junior
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Santa Fe
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pasto and America de Cali.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and America de Cali 42%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–1 America de Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali?
Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
