Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJunior to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceJunior or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Junior vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 March the Primera A brings Junior against Alianza Valledupar at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez. Kick-off: 02:20 WAT. In the table, Junior are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Junior, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Jaguares, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Junior 1.9 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Junior 63%, draw 21%, Alianza Valledupar 16%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Junior 2–0 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Junior63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.10
Alianza Valledupar16%fair 6.41 · @7.75
2.77Expected goals
1.93Junior xG
0.85Alianza Valledupar xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Junior 1.9 – 0.8 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Junior
Alianza Valledupar
Attack vs Primera A average
+13%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+22%
Our expected goals here
2.03
0.92
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Junior to win✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Double chance
Junior or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Junior (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Junior -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
Junior to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Junior ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Junior / FT Junior✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Junior – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
@ Jaguares
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Santa Fe
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs America de Cali
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Cucuta
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Junior and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Junior vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Junior vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Junior have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alianza Valledupar 16%.
How many goals will there be in Junior vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Junior vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Junior 2–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Junior vs Alianza Valledupar?
Junior vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 02:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
