Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 53% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Pasto to win ✓57% · @1.52
Double chanceDeportivo Pasto or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Deportivo Pasto vs Chico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Pasto welcome Chico to Estadio Departamental Libertad for a Primera A fixture on Wednesday 18 March (22:10 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Pasto are 18th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 18 matches; Chico are 15th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Deportivo Pasto, last 4: LWDD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Once Caldas, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Chico, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Millonarios, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Pasto, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Chico.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Pasto 1.5 xG, Chico 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Pasto 57%, draw 27%, Chico 16%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Chico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Pasto57%fair 1.77 · @1.52
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.55
Chico16%fair 6.09 · @7.75
2.36Expected goals
1.51Deportivo Pasto xG
0.84Chico xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 1.5 – 0.8 Chico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Pasto
Chico
Attack vs Primera A average
-29%
-30%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
+21%
Our expected goals here
1.27
0.91
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Pasto to win✓
57%
1.77
1.52
Double chance
Deportivo Pasto or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Pasto (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Chico +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Deportivo Pasto to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Pasto / FT Deportivo Pasto✓
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Deportivo Pasto – last 4
LWDD
14 Mar
@ Once Caldas
2–4
L
10 Mar
vs America de Cali
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chico – last 4
WLLL
15 Mar
vs Millonarios
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Once Caldas
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Águilas Doradas
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Fortaleza FC
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pasto and Chico.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chico 16%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Chico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
Deportivo Pasto vs Chico (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 22:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
