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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jaguares v Águilas Doradas: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Jaraguay
1–1
FT
Jaguares 30%Draw 28%Águilas Doradas 42% Expected goals 1.07 – 1.32
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Águilas Doradas to win @ 2.54 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultÁguilas Doradas to win ✗42% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73

Jaguares vs Águilas Doradas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 24 March the Primera A brings Jaguares against Águilas Doradas at Estadio Jaraguay. Kick-off: 00:20 WAT. In the table, Jaguares are 19th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 18 matches; Águilas Doradas are 10th (upper half) with 25. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Jaguares, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alianza Valledupar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jaguares 1.1 xG, Águilas Doradas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jaguares 30%, draw 28%, Águilas Doradas 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Águilas Doradas to win @2.54 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jaguares 1–1 Águilas Doradas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jaguares30%fair 3.32 · @2.98
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.94
Águilas Doradas42%fair 2.39 · @2.54
2.38Expected goals
1.07Jaguares xG
1.32Águilas Doradas xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Jaguares 1.1 – 1.3 Águilas Doradas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

JaguaresÁguilas Doradas
Attack vs Primera A average-16%-7%
Goals conceded vs average+42%-9%
Our expected goals here1.131.40

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguilas Doradas to win ✗42%2.392.54 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.902.00 ▲
Draw no betÁguilas Doradas (draw no bet)58%1.72–
Asian handicapJaguares +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.681.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.05
First team to scoreÁguilas Doradas to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Águilas Doradas / FT Águilas Doradas ✗25%4.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.73–

Recent results

Jaguares – last 6

LLLLLL
19 Mar@ Alianza Valledupar0–1L
16 Marvs Independiente Medellin1–2L
9 Mar@ Llaneros0–2L
5 Mar@ Fortaleza FC1–2L
1 Marvs Junior0–2L
23 Feb@ America de Cali0–3L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Águilas Doradas – last 2

LW
20 Marvs America de Cali0–1L
23 Feb@ Chico1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jaguares and Águilas Doradas.

Jaguares vs Águilas Doradas head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Águilas Doradas?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Jaguares vs Águilas Doradas?

On our numbers Jaguares have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Águilas Doradas 42%.

How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Águilas Doradas?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Águilas Doradas?

Our predicted score is Jaguares 1–1 Águilas Doradas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Jaguares vs Águilas Doradas?

Jaguares vs Águilas Doradas (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 00:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.