Fortaleza FC 44%Draw 28%Deportivo Pasto 29%Expected goals 1.42 – 1.00
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFortaleza FC to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Pasto travel to face Fortaleza FC on Wednesday 25 March in the Primera A, with Estadio Municipal de Cota the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Fortaleza FC are 20th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pasto are 18th (in the drop zone) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fortaleza FC, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportes Tolima, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Deportivo Pasto, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chico, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza FC 1.4 xG, Deportivo Pasto 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza FC 44%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pasto 29%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza FC 1–1 Deportivo Pasto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortaleza FC44%fair 2.28 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.05
Deportivo Pasto29%fair 3.50 · @3.50
2.42Expected goals
1.42Fortaleza FC xG
1.00Deportivo Pasto xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Fortaleza FC 1.4 – 1.0 Deportivo Pasto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
Attack vs Primera A average
-19%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
+22%
Our expected goals here
1.46
0.91
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortaleza FC to win✗
44%
2.28
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Fortaleza FC (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Pasto +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Fortaleza FC to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortaleza FC / FT Fortaleza FC✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Fortaleza FC – last 6
LLWDWL
20 Mar
@ Deportes Tolima
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Junior
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Jaguares
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Chico
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportivo Pasto – last 5
WLWDD
18 Mar
vs Chico
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Once Caldas
2–4
L
10 Mar
vs America de Cali
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza FC and Deportivo Pasto.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto?
On our numbers Fortaleza FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Pasto 29%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza FC 1–1 Deportivo Pasto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto?
Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Cota.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
