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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Águilas Doradas v Alianza Valledupar: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Cincuentenario
Águilas Doradas 49%Draw 26%Alianza Valledupar 25% Expected goals 1.44 – 0.81
75%
Betarazi pick

Águilas Doradas or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultÁguilas Doradas to win ✓49% · @2.12
Double chanceÁguilas Doradas or draw ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.59

Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alianza Valledupar travel to face Águilas Doradas on Friday 27 March in the Primera A, with Estadio Cincuentenario the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Águilas Doradas are 10th, upper half, on 25 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Águilas Doradas, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jaguares, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Alianza Valledupar, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jaguares, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Águilas Doradas 1.4 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Águilas Doradas 49%, draw 26%, Alianza Valledupar 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Águilas Doradas or draw (75%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Águilas Doradas or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águilas Doradas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Águilas Doradas49%fair 2.04 · @2.12
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
Alianza Valledupar25%fair 4.07 · @3.65
2.25Expected goals
1.44Águilas Doradas xG
0.81Alianza Valledupar xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Águilas Doradas 1.4 – 0.8 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Águilas DoradasAlianza Valledupar
Attack vs Primera A average-7%-19%
Goals conceded vs average-9%+22%
Our expected goals here1.670.78

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguilas Doradas to win ✓49%2.042.12
Double chanceÁguilas Doradas or draw ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.65
Draw no betÁguilas Doradas (draw no bet) ✓67%1.50–
Asian handicapAlianza Valledupar +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.571.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.601.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.231.15
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.091.04
First team to scoreÁguilas Doradas to score first ✓57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Águilas Doradas / FT Águilas Doradas ✗31%3.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.59–

Recent results

Águilas Doradas – last 3

DLW
24 Mar@ Jaguares1–1D
20 Marvs America de Cali0–1L
23 Feb@ Chico1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Alianza Valledupar – last 5

WDDLD
19 Marvs Jaguares1–0W
15 Mar@ Santa Fe1–1D
6 Mar@ Junior1–1D
22 Feb@ Atletico Nacional0–3L
17 Febvs Cucuta1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Águilas Doradas and Alianza Valledupar.

Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?

Our pick is Águilas Doradas or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?

On our numbers Águilas Doradas have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Alianza Valledupar 25%.

How many goals will there be in Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?

Our predicted score is Águilas Doradas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?

Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cincuentenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.