Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jaguares travel to face Deportes Tolima on Sunday 29 March in the Primera A, with Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro the venue – the ball rolls at 00:10 WAT. In the table, Deportes Tolima are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Jaguares are 19th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportes Tolima, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chico, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Jaguares, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Águilas Doradas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Deportes Tolima, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Jaguares.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Tolima 1.9 xG, Jaguares 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Tolima 67%, draw 21%, Jaguares 12%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Tolima 1–0 Jaguares. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Tolima67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.20
Jaguares12%fair 8.44 · @10.25
2.62Expected goals
1.91Deportes Tolima xG
0.70Jaguares xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.9 – 0.7 Jaguares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportes Tolima
Jaguares
Attack vs Primera A average
+1%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+42%
Our expected goals here
2.10
0.84
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Double chance
Deportes Tolima or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.50
Draw no bet
Deportes Tolima (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Tolima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Deportes Tolima to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Deportes Tolima ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.15
–
Recent results
Deportes Tolima – last 6
DWWLWL
23 Mar
@ Chico
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Cucuta
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Jaguares – last 6
DLLLLL
24 Mar
vs Águilas Doradas
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Alianza Valledupar
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Llaneros
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Fortaleza FC
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Junior
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and Jaguares.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jaguares 12%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–0 Jaguares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
