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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Junior v Deportivo Cali: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior

WLWLD
1–2
FT
Junior 43%Draw 29%Deportivo Cali 28% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.11
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Deportivo Cali to win @ 4.10 – our chance 28% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJunior to win ✗43% · @1.91
Double chanceJunior or draw ✗72% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.32

Junior vs Deportivo Cali: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Cali travel to face Junior on Saturday 4 April in the Primera A, with Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez the venue – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT. In the table, Junior are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Cali are 3rd (among the top four) with 34. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Junior, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bucaramanga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Deportivo Cali, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Pereira, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Junior 1.2 xG, Deportivo Cali 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Junior 43%, draw 29%, Deportivo Cali 28%.
  • Lower-risk option: Junior or draw (72%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Deportivo Cali to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Junior 1–1 Deportivo Cali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Junior43%fair 2.31 · @1.91
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.30
Deportivo Cali28%fair 3.55 · @4.10
2.26Expected goals
1.16Junior xG
1.11Deportivo Cali xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Junior 1.2 – 1.1 Deportivo Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

JuniorDeportivo Cali
Attack vs Primera A average+13%+5%
Goals conceded vs average+7%-47%
Our expected goals here0.881.19

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJunior to win ✗43%2.311.91
Double chanceJunior or draw ✗72%1.391.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.83
Draw no betJunior (draw no bet) ✗61%1.65–
Asian handicapDeportivo Cali +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.08
First team to scoreJunior to score first ✗46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Junior / FT Junior ✗21%4.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.32–

Recent results

Junior – last 6

WLWLDW
25 Marvs Bucaramanga2–0W
20 Mar@ Independiente Medellin0–2L
16 Marvs Fortaleza FC2–1W
11 Marvs Atletico Nacional0–4L
6 Marvs Alianza Valledupar1–1D
1 Mar@ Jaguares2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Cali – last 5

WDLDW
29 Marvs Deportivo Pereira1–0W
19 Marvs Santa Fe1–1D
7 Marvs Once Caldas0–2L
2 Marvs Fortaleza FC1–1D
16 Febvs Atletico Nacional1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Junior and Deportivo Cali.

Junior vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Junior vs Deportivo Cali?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Junior vs Deportivo Cali?

On our numbers Junior have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo Cali 28%.

How many goals will there be in Junior vs Deportivo Cali?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Junior vs Deportivo Cali?

Our predicted score is Junior 1–1 Deportivo Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Junior vs Deportivo Cali?

Junior vs Deportivo Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.