Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLlaneros to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceLlaneros or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Llaneros vs Jaguares: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Monday 9 March: Llaneros v Jaguares in the Primera A, played at Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”. In the table, Llaneros are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Jaguares are 19th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Jaguares, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fortaleza FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Llaneros 1.7 xG, Jaguares 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Llaneros 57%, draw 24%, Jaguares 19%.
Lower-risk option: Llaneros or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Llaneros or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llaneros 1–0 Jaguares. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Llaneros57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
Jaguares19%fair 5.30 · @4.50
2.62Expected goals
1.75Llaneros xG
0.87Jaguares xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Llaneros 1.7 – 0.9 Jaguares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Llaneros
Jaguares
Attack vs Primera A average
-8%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+42%
Our expected goals here
1.93
0.92
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Llaneros to win✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Double chance
Llaneros or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Llaneros (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Jaguares +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Llaneros to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Llaneros / FT Llaneros✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Llaneros – last 2
DD
6 Mar
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Independiente Medellin
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jaguares – last 4
LLLW
5 Mar
@ Fortaleza FC
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Junior
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ America de Cali
0–3
L
18 Feb
vs Santa Fe
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llaneros and Jaguares.
Our pick is Llaneros or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Llaneros vs Jaguares?
On our numbers Llaneros have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jaguares 19%.
How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Jaguares?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Jaguares?
Our predicted score is Llaneros 1–0 Jaguares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Llaneros vs Jaguares?
Llaneros vs Jaguares (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
