Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultInternacional de Bogota to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceInternacional de Bogota or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.42
Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Monday 13 April: Internacional de Bogota v Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A, played at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. In the table, Internacional de Bogota are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Internacional de Bogota, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fortaleza FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Deportivo Pereira, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Internacional de Bogota 1.7 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional de Bogota 59%, draw 25%, Alianza Valledupar 16%.
Lower-risk option: Internacional de Bogota or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional de Bogota 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Internacional de Bogota59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
Alianza Valledupar16%fair 6.11 · @5.60
2.56Expected goals
1.71Internacional de Bogota xG
0.84Alianza Valledupar xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Internacional de Bogota 1.7 – 0.8 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Internacional de Bogota
Alianza Valledupar
Attack vs Primera A average
+3%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+22%
Our expected goals here
1.84
1.00
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional de Bogota to win✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Double chance
Internacional de Bogota or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Internacional de Bogota (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Valledupar +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Internacional de Bogota to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional de Bogota / FT Internacional de Bogota✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Internacional de Bogota – last 6
DLDDWD
4 Apr
@ Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Atletico Nacional
0–3
L
19 Mar
vs Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
6 Mar
@ Llaneros
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Millonarios
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Deportivo Pasto
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
WDLWDD
6 Apr
@ Deportivo Pereira
3–2
W
1 Apr
vs Deportivo Pasto
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Águilas Doradas
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Jaguares
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Santa Fe
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Junior
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional de Bogota and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Internacional de Bogota have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alianza Valledupar 16%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Internacional de Bogota 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar?
Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
