Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Atletico Nacional vs Bucaramanga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Nacional welcome Bucaramanga to Estadio Atanasio Girardot for a Primera A fixture on Tuesday 21 April (02:30 WAT). In the table, Atletico Nacional are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Bucaramanga are 4th (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Atletico Nacional, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Independiente Medellin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Bucaramanga, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Chico, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Bucaramanga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Nacional 1.7 xG, Bucaramanga 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Nacional 54%, draw 24%, Bucaramanga 22%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Nacional or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Nacional or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Nacional 1–1 Bucaramanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Nacional54%fair 1.86 · @1.89
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
Bucaramanga22%fair 4.54 · @4.10
2.71Expected goals
1.70Atletico Nacional xG
1.01Bucaramanga xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 1.7 – 1.0 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
Attack vs Primera A average
+48%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.82
1.08
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
54%
1.86
1.89
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Draw no bet
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Bucaramanga +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Atletico Nacional to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Atletico Nacional – last 6
WWDWWL
12 Apr
@ Independiente Medellin
3–2
W
7 Apr
vs Jaguares
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Cucuta
0–0
D
30 Mar
@ Deportivo Pasto
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Internacional de Bogota
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Millonarios
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bucaramanga – last 6
WLLLLD
13 Apr
vs Chico
5–0
W
7 Apr
@ Águilas Doradas
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ America de Cali
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs Santa Fe
1–2
L
25 Mar
@ Junior
0–2
L
19 Mar
vs Once Caldas
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Bucaramanga.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Bucaramanga?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Bucaramanga?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bucaramanga 22%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Bucaramanga?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Bucaramanga?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 1–1 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Bucaramanga?
Atletico Nacional vs Bucaramanga (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
