Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLlaneros to win ✗46% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Llaneros welcome Alianza Valledupar to Estadio Bello Horizonte for a Primera A fixture on Monday 27 April (00:10 WAT). In the table, Llaneros are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Llaneros, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Junior, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Internacional de Bogota, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Llaneros 1.4 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Llaneros 46%, draw 27%, Alianza Valledupar 27%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llaneros 1–1 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Llaneros46%fair 2.17 · @2.28
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Alianza Valledupar27%fair 3.71 · @3.30
2.30Expected goals
1.41Llaneros xG
0.89Alianza Valledupar xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Llaneros 1.4 – 0.9 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Llaneros
Alianza Valledupar
Attack vs Primera A average
-8%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+22%
Our expected goals here
1.66
0.88
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Llaneros to win✗
46%
2.17
2.28 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Llaneros (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Valledupar +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Llaneros to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Llaneros / FT Llaneros✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Llaneros – last 6
LWDDDL
20 Apr
@ Junior
0–2
L
2 Apr
@ Santa Fe
1–0
W
30 Mar
vs Once Caldas
1–1
D
26 Mar
@ America de Cali
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–2
D
14 Mar
@ Atletico Nacional
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
LWDLWD
13 Apr
@ Internacional de Bogota
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Deportivo Pereira
3–2
W
1 Apr
vs Deportivo Pasto
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Águilas Doradas
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Jaguares
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Santa Fe
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llaneros and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Llaneros have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Alianza Valledupar 27%.
How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Llaneros 1–1 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar?
Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bello Horizonte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
