Value bet: Monagas SC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPortuguesa FC to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monagas SC travel to face Portuguesa FC on Friday 27 February in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Portuguesa FC are 4th, among the top four, on 3 points after 5 matches; Monagas SC are 4th (among the top four) with 3. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portuguesa FC 1.2 xG, Monagas SC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portuguesa FC 39%, draw 27%, Monagas SC 34%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Monagas SC to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portuguesa FC 1–1 Monagas SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portuguesa FC39%fair 2.54 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
Monagas SC34%fair 2.98 · @3.20
2.42Expected goals
1.24Portuguesa FC xG
1.18Monagas SC xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Portuguesa FC 1.2 – 1.2 Monagas SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa FC to win✓
39%
2.54
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Draw no bet
Portuguesa FC (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Monagas SC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Portuguesa FC to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa FC / FT Portuguesa FC✓
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
Portuguesa FC – last 2
DL
22 Feb
@ Trujillanos FC
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Academia Anzoátegui
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Monagas SC – last 1
L
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Tachira FC
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portuguesa FC and Monagas SC.
What is the prediction for Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC?
On our numbers Portuguesa FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Monagas SC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC?
Our predicted score is Portuguesa FC 1–1 Monagas SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC?
Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
