Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✗56% · @1.64
Double chancePuerto Cabello or draw ✗82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 February the Primera División brings Puerto Cabello against Estudiantes de Merida FC at Complejo Deportivo Socialista. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Puerto Cabello are 3rd, among the top four, on 6 points after 5 matches; Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puerto Cabello 1.7 xG, Estudiantes de Merida FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puerto Cabello 56%, draw 26%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 18%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puerto Cabello 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puerto Cabello56%fair 1.78 · @1.64
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.50
Estudiantes de Merida FC18%fair 5.57 · @5.00
2.62Expected goals
1.70Puerto Cabello xG
0.92Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Puerto Cabello 1.7 – 0.9 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puerto Cabello to win✗
56%
1.78
1.64
Double chance
Puerto Cabello or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Puerto Cabello (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Estudiantes de Merida FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Puerto Cabello to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puerto Cabello / FT Puerto Cabello✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Puerto Cabello – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Zamora FC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 2
WL
23 Feb
@ Academia Anzoátegui
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Rayo Zuliano
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puerto Cabello and Estudiantes de Merida FC.
What is the prediction for Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Puerto Cabello have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Puerto Cabello 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
