Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗50% · @1.91
Double chanceDeportivo La Guaira or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Academia Anzoátegui welcome Deportivo La Guaira for a Primera División fixture on Tuesday 17 March (22:30 WAT). In the table, Academia Anzoátegui are 13th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd (among the top four) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Academia Anzoátegui, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Monagas SC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Deportivo La Guaira, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Puerto Cabello, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Deportivo La Guaira, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Academia Anzoátegui.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Academia Anzoátegui 1.0 xG, Deportivo La Guaira 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Academia Anzoátegui 23%, draw 27%, Deportivo La Guaira 50%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo La Guaira or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo La Guaira or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Academia Anzoátegui 0–1 Deportivo La Guaira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Academia Anzoátegui23%fair 4.41 · @4.00
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.10
Deportivo La Guaira50%fair 2.00 · @1.91
2.42Expected goals
0.97Academia Anzoátegui xG
1.44Deportivo La Guaira xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
1–29%
0–09%
1–09%
From our goals model: Academia Anzoátegui 1.0 – 1.4 Deportivo La Guaira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo La Guaira to win✗
50%
2.00
1.91
Double chance
Deportivo La Guaira or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo La Guaira (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Academia Anzoátegui +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Deportivo La Guaira to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo La Guaira / FT Deportivo La Guaira✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Academia Anzoátegui – last 4
LLLW
15 Mar
@ Monagas SC
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Puerto Cabello
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Merida FC
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Portuguesa FC
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Guaira – last 3
DWD
14 Mar
vs Puerto Cabello
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ Estudiantes de Merida FC
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Zamora FC
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Academia Anzoátegui and Deportivo La Guaira.
What is the prediction for Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Our pick is Deportivo La Guaira or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira?
On our numbers Academia Anzoátegui have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo La Guaira 50%.
How many goals will there be in Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Our predicted score is Academia Anzoátegui 0–1 Deportivo La Guaira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
