Estudiantes de Merida FC 21%Draw 28%Carabobo FC 50%Expected goals 0.82 – 1.37
79%
Betarazi pick
Carabobo FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultCarabobo FC to win ✗50% · @1.95
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estudiantes de Merida FC welcome Carabobo FC for a Primera División fixture on Wednesday 18 March (22:30 WAT). In the table, Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 13 matches; Carabobo FC are 1st (leading the league) with 11.
Current form
Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo La Guaira, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Carabobo FC, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sporting Cristal, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes de Merida FC 0.8 xG, Carabobo FC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes de Merida FC 21%, draw 28%, Carabobo FC 50%.
Lower-risk option: Carabobo FC or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Carabobo FC or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes de Merida FC 0–1 Carabobo FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes de Merida FC21%fair 4.66 · @3.75
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.10
Carabobo FC50%fair 1.99 · @1.95
2.18Expected goals
0.82Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
1.37Carabobo FC xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
0–211%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Merida FC 0.8 – 1.4 Carabobo FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carabobo FC to win✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Double chance
Carabobo FC or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Carabobo FC (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Estudiantes de Merida FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Carabobo FC to score first
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carabobo FC / FT Carabobo FC✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 4
LWWL
6 Mar
vs Deportivo La Guaira
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Puerto Cabello
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Academia Anzoátegui
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Rayo Zuliano
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Carabobo FC – last 5
LDWDW
4 Mar
vs Sporting Cristal
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Caracas FC
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Huachipato
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Metropolitanos FC
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Huachipato
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes de Merida FC and Carabobo FC.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?
Our pick is Carabobo FC or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Merida FC have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Carabobo FC 50%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Merida FC 0–1 Carabobo FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
