Deportivo Tachira FC 61%Draw 22%Estudiantes de Merida FC 16%Expected goals 1.94 – 0.84
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Tachira FC to win61% · @1.57
Double chanceDeportivo Tachira FC or draw84% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.20
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Tachira FC welcome Estudiantes de Merida FC to Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 22 March (22:30 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Tachira FC are 1st, leading the league, on 15 points after 5 matches; Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th (in the drop zone) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportivo Tachira FC, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rayo Zuliano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Carabobo FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Tachira FC 1.9 xG, Estudiantes de Merida FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Tachira FC 61%, draw 22%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 16%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Tachira FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Tachira FC61%fair 1.63 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.70
Estudiantes de Merida FC16%fair 6.13 · @5.25
2.78Expected goals
1.94Deportivo Tachira FC xG
0.84Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Deportivo Tachira FC 1.9 – 0.8 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Tachira FC to win
61%
1.63
1.57
Double chance
Deportivo Tachira FC or draw
84%
1.20
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
Deportivo Tachira FC (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Tachira FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Deportivo Tachira FC to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Deportivo Tachira FC ahead at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Tachira FC / FT Deportivo Tachira FC
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Deportivo Tachira FC – last 5
DWLWL
18 Mar
@ Rayo Zuliano
0–0
D
16 Mar
vs Zamora FC
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Metropolitanos FC
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Monagas SC
3–2
W
20 Feb
vs Deportes Tolima
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 5
WLWWL
18 Mar
vs Carabobo FC
3–2
W
6 Mar
vs Deportivo La Guaira
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Puerto Cabello
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Academia Anzoátegui
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Rayo Zuliano
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Tachira FC and Estudiantes de Merida FC.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Deportivo Tachira FC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Tachira FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
