Monagas SC vs Caracas FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Monday 23 March: Monagas SC v Caracas FC in the Primera División. In the table, Monagas SC are 4th, among the top four, on 3 points after 5 matches; Caracas FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Monagas SC, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Metropolitanos FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Caracas FC, last 4: WDDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Trujillanos FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monagas SC 1.4 xG, Caracas FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monagas SC 40%, draw 26%, Caracas FC 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monagas SC 1–1 Caracas FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monagas SC40%fair 2.52 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.25
Caracas FC35%fair 2.87 · @2.50
2.63Expected goals
1.40Monagas SC xG
1.23Caracas FC xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Monagas SC 1.4 – 1.2 Caracas FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monagas SC to win✗
40%
2.52
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Monagas SC (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Caracas FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Monagas SC to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monagas SC / FT Monagas SC✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Monagas SC – last 5
LWWLL
19 Mar
@ Metropolitanos FC
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Academia Anzoátegui
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Trujillanos FC
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Portuguesa FC
0–4
L
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Tachira FC
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Caracas FC – last 4
WDDL
18 Mar
vs Trujillanos FC
4–2
W
14 Mar
@ Portuguesa FC
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Carabobo FC
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs UCV
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monagas SC and Caracas FC.
What is the prediction for Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
On our numbers Monagas SC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Caracas FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
Our predicted score is Monagas SC 1–1 Caracas FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
Monagas SC vs Caracas FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
