Value bet: Metropolitanos FC to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCaracas FC to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26
Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Caracas FC v Metropolitanos FC in the Primera División. In the table, Caracas FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 6 points after 5 matches; Metropolitanos FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Caracas FC, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Monagas SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Metropolitanos FC, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Academia Anzoátegui, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Metropolitanos FC, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Caracas FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caracas FC 1.3 xG, Metropolitanos FC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caracas FC 39%, draw 26%, Metropolitanos FC 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Metropolitanos FC to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caracas FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caracas FC39%fair 2.58 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
Metropolitanos FC35%fair 2.87 · @3.25
2.65Expected goals
1.31Caracas FC xG
1.33Metropolitanos FC xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Caracas FC 1.3 – 1.3 Metropolitanos FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caracas FC to win✓
39%
2.58
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Caracas FC (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Caracas FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Metropolitanos FC to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metropolitanos FC / FT Metropolitanos FC✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.26
–
Recent results
Caracas FC – last 5
DWDDL
23 Mar
@ Monagas SC
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Trujillanos FC
4–2
W
14 Mar
@ Portuguesa FC
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Carabobo FC
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs UCV
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Metropolitanos FC – last 4
WWWD
24 Mar
vs Academia Anzoátegui
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs Monagas SC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Carabobo FC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caracas FC and Metropolitanos FC.
What is the prediction for Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
On our numbers Caracas FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Metropolitanos FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our predicted score is Caracas FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
