Deportivo La Guaira 37%Draw 28%Carabobo FC 35%Expected goals 1.02 – 1.08
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Carabobo FC to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗37% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.47
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Deportivo La Guaira v Carabobo FC in the Primera División, played at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. In the table, Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd, among the top four, on 6 points after 5 matches; Carabobo FC are 1st (leading the league) with 11.
Current form
Deportivo La Guaira, last 4: DDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Academia Anzoátegui, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Carabobo FC, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Puerto Cabello, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo La Guaira, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Carabobo FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Guaira 1.0 xG, Carabobo FC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Guaira 37%, draw 28%, Carabobo FC 35%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Carabobo FC to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Carabobo FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo La Guaira37%fair 2.72 · @2.15
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.90
Carabobo FC35%fair 2.85 · @3.40
2.10Expected goals
1.02Deportivo La Guaira xG
1.08Carabobo FC xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.0 – 1.1 Carabobo FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo La Guaira to win✗
37%
2.72
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.00
Draw no bet
Deportivo La Guaira (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo La Guaira +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Carabobo FC to score first✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.47
–
Recent results
Deportivo La Guaira – last 4
DDWD
17 Mar
@ Academia Anzoátegui
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Puerto Cabello
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ Estudiantes de Merida FC
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Zamora FC
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Carabobo FC – last 6
DLLDWD
23 Mar
vs Puerto Cabello
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Estudiantes de Merida FC
2–3
L
4 Mar
vs Sporting Cristal
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Caracas FC
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Huachipato
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Metropolitanos FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Guaira and Carabobo FC.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Carabobo FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Carabobo FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
