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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UCV v Deportivo Tachira FC: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Venezuela · Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

UCV

LWLW
1–1
FT
UCV 27%Draw 26%Deportivo Tachira FC 48% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.68
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Tachira FC to win ✗48% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45

UCV vs Deportivo Tachira FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Tachira FC travel to face UCV on Monday 20 April in the Primera División, with Estadio Olimpico de la UCV the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, UCV are 10th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 13 matches; Deportivo Tachira FC are 1st (leading the league) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

UCV, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Independiente del Valle, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Deportivo Tachira FC, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Deportivo La Guaira, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UCV 1.2 xG, Deportivo Tachira FC 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UCV 27%, draw 26%, Deportivo Tachira FC 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV 1–1 Deportivo Tachira FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UCV27%fair 3.75 · @3.45
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.95
Deportivo Tachira FC48%fair 2.10 · @2.10
2.85Expected goals
1.16UCV xG
1.68Deportivo Tachira FC xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: UCV 1.2 – 1.7 Deportivo Tachira FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Tachira FC to win ✗48%2.102.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.80 ▲
Draw no betDeportivo Tachira FC (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapUCV +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreDeportivo Tachira FC to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Tachira FC / FT Deportivo Tachira FC ✗30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

UCV – last 4

LWLW
16 Apr@ Independiente del Valle1–3L
9 Aprvs Libertad Asuncion3–1W
17 Mar@ Puerto Cabello0–3L
22 Feb@ Caracas FC2–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Deportivo Tachira FC – last 6

LWDWLW
10 Aprvs Deportivo La Guaira2–3L
5 Apr@ Puerto Cabello2–1W
18 Mar@ Rayo Zuliano0–0D
16 Marvs Zamora FC2–1W
1 Marvs Metropolitanos FC0–1L
23 Feb@ Monagas SC3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between UCV and Deportivo Tachira FC.

UCV vs Deportivo Tachira FC head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UCV vs Deportivo Tachira FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win UCV vs Deportivo Tachira FC?

On our numbers UCV have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Tachira FC 48%.

How many goals will there be in UCV vs Deportivo Tachira FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UCV vs Deportivo Tachira FC?

Our predicted score is UCV 1–1 Deportivo Tachira FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is UCV vs Deportivo Tachira FC?

UCV vs Deportivo Tachira FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.