Hull City 18%Draw 21%Chelsea 61%Expected goals 1.20 – 1.94
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultChelsea to win ✓61% · @1.24
Double chanceChelsea or draw ✓82% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Hull City vs Chelsea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hull City welcome Chelsea to MKM Stadium for a FA Cup fixture on Friday 13 February (20:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hull City 1.2 xG, Chelsea 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hull City 18%, draw 21%, Chelsea 61%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hull City 1–2 Chelsea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hull City18%fair 5.55 · @10.50
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @6.00
Chelsea61%fair 1.63 · @1.24
3.14Expected goals
1.20Hull City xG
1.94Chelsea xG
52%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Hull City 1.2 – 1.9 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea to win✓
61%
1.63
1.24
Double chance
Chelsea or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.90
Draw no bet
Chelsea (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Hull City +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
First team to score
Chelsea to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Chelsea ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea / FT Chelsea✓
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Hull City
No recent results on record.
Chelsea
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hull City and Chelsea.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Hull City vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Hull City have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chelsea 61%.
How many goals will there be in Hull City vs Chelsea?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Hull City 1–2 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hull City vs Chelsea?
Hull City vs Chelsea (FA Cup) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at MKM Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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