Al Ahli vs Al Najma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Najma travel to face Al Ahli on Friday 20 February in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Al Ahli are 5th, upper half, on 9 points after 7 matches; Al Najma are 8th (lower half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahli 1.6 xG, Al Najma 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahli 46%, draw 25%, Al Najma 30%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.82.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahli 1–1 Al Najma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ahli46%fair 2.19 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
Al Najma30%fair 3.38 · @2.80
2.78Expected goals
1.61Al Ahli xG
1.18Al Najma xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al Ahli 1.6 – 1.2 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli to win✓
46%
2.19
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.82
Draw no bet
Al Ahli (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Al Najma +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Al Ahli to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli / FT Al Ahli✓
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
Al Ahli
No recent results on record.
Al Najma
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli and Al Najma.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al Ahli have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Najma 30%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli 1–1 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
Al Ahli vs Al Najma (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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