Value bet: Al Shabab to win @ 3.55 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Najma to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.74
Al Shabab vs Al Najma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 2 April the Premier League brings Al Shabab against Al Najma. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Shabab 1.5 xG, Al Najma 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Shabab 36%, draw 24%, Al Najma 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Al Shabab to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Shabab 1–1 Al Najma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Shabab36%fair 2.80 · @3.55
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Al Najma40%fair 2.50 · @2.00
2.79Expected goals
1.47Al Shabab xG
1.32Al Najma xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Al Shabab 1.5 – 1.3 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Najma to win✗
40%
2.50
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.83
Draw no bet
Al Najma (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Al Najma +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Al Shabab to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Shabab / FT Al Shabab✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.74
–
Recent results
Al Shabab – last 2
LW
27 Feb
@ Muharraq
0–3
L
19 Feb
@ A'Ali
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Najma – last 2
WL
13 Mar
vs Al-Hidd
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Al Ahli
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Shabab and Al Najma.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al Shabab have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al Najma 40%.
How many goals will there be in Al Shabab vs Al Najma?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Shabab vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al Shabab 1–1 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al Shabab vs Al Najma?
Al Shabab vs Al Najma (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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