Gimcheon Sangmu FC 54%Draw 27%Gwangju FC 20%Expected goals 1.42 – 0.83
80%
Betarazi pick
Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗54% · @1.83
Double chanceGimcheon Sangmu FC or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 March the K League 1 brings Gimcheon Sangmu FC against Gwangju FC at Gimcheon Stadium. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th on 38 points after 35 matches; Gwangju FC are 12th with 23. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Daejeon Citizen, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.4 xG, Gwangju FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimcheon Sangmu FC 54%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 20%.
Lower-risk option: Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–0 Gwangju FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimcheon Sangmu FC54%fair 1.87 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.30
Gwangju FC20%fair 5.09 · @4.40
2.26Expected goals
1.42Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
0.83Gwangju FC xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.4 – 0.8 Gwangju FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win✗
54%
1.87
1.83
Double chance
Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.70
Draw no bet
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Gwangju FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
First team to score
Gimcheon Sangmu FC to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FT Gimcheon Sangmu FC✗
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.72
–
Recent results
Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 3
DDD
14 Mar
@ Daejeon Citizen
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Pohang Steelers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gwangju FC – last 2
DD
14 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Jeju United FC
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gwangju FC.
What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC?
Our pick is Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC?
On our numbers Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gwangju FC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC?
Our predicted score is Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–0 Gwangju FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC (K League 1) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimcheon Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
