Incheon United 42%Draw 28%Gimcheon Sangmu FC 30%Expected goals 1.27 – 0.94
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultIncheon United to win ✓42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.01
Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimcheon Sangmu FC travel to face Incheon United on Sunday 5 April in the K League 1, with Sungui Arena Park the venue – the ball rolls at 08:30 WAT. In the table, Incheon United are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38.
Current form
Incheon United, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Anyang, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ulsan Hyundai FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Incheon United 1.3 xG, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Incheon United 42%, draw 28%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Incheon United 1–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Incheon United42%fair 2.40 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.25
Gimcheon Sangmu FC30%fair 3.30 · @3.20
2.21Expected goals
1.27Incheon United xG
0.94Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Incheon United 1.3 – 0.9 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Incheon United to win✓
42%
2.40
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Incheon United (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Gimcheon Sangmu FC +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Incheon United to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Incheon United / FT Incheon United✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Incheon United – last 4
WLDL
22 Mar
@ FC Anyang
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Pohang Steelers
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs FC Seoul
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 5
DDDDD
22 Mar
@ Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Gwangju FC
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Daejeon Citizen
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Pohang Steelers
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Incheon United and Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
On our numbers Incheon United have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 30%.
How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
