Gwangju FC 40%Draw 27%Bucheon FC 1995 33%Expected goals 1.32 – 1.13
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGwangju FC to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:30 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Gwangju FC v Bucheon FC 1995 in the K League 1, played at Gwangju Football Stadium. In the table, Gwangju FC are 12th on 23 points after 35 matches; Bucheon FC 1995 are 11th with 33.
Current form
Gwangju FC, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Gangwon FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Bucheon FC 1995, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Jeju United FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gwangju FC 1.3 xG, Bucheon FC 1995 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gwangju FC 40%, draw 27%, Bucheon FC 1995 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gwangju FC 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gwangju FC40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Bucheon FC 199533%fair 3.01 · @2.70
2.45Expected goals
1.32Gwangju FC xG
1.13Bucheon FC 1995 xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Gwangju FC 1.3 – 1.1 Bucheon FC 1995 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gwangju FC to win✗
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Gwangju FC (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Bucheon FC 1995 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.04
First team to score
Gwangju FC to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gwangju FC / FT Gwangju FC✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Gwangju FC – last 5
LLDDD
4 Apr
@ Gangwon FC
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ FC Seoul
0–5
L
17 Mar
@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Jeju United FC
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Bucheon FC 1995 – last 6
LDDLDW
4 Apr
@ Jeju United FC
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Pohang Steelers
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jeonbuk Motors
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gwangju FC and Bucheon FC 1995.
What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
On our numbers Gwangju FC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bucheon FC 1995 33%.
How many goals will there be in Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Our predicted score is Gwangju FC 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Gwangju Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
