Value bet: Jeju United FC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJeju United FC to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.64
Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:30 WAT, Saturday 18 April: Jeju United FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC in the K League 1, played at Jeju World Cup Stadium. In the table, Jeju United FC are 7th on 48 points after 35 matches; Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38.
Current form
Jeju United FC, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pohang Steelers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Anyang, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jeju United FC 1.2 xG, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jeju United FC 37%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Jeju United FC to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jeju United FC37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.25
Gimcheon Sangmu FC36%fair 2.80 · @2.40
2.23Expected goals
1.19Jeju United FC xG
1.04Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Jeju United FC 1.2 – 1.0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jeju United FC to win✗
37%
2.69
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.73
Draw no bet
Jeju United FC (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Gimcheon Sangmu FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.09
First team to score
Jeju United FC to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jeju United FC / FT Jeju United FC✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.64
–
Recent results
Jeju United FC – last 6
WWDLLL
11 Apr
@ Pohang Steelers
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Bucheon FC 1995
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Gangwon FC
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs FC Seoul
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ FC Anyang
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 6
DLDDDD
12 Apr
vs FC Anyang
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Incheon United
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Gwangju FC
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Daejeon Citizen
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jeju United FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
What is the prediction for Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
On our numbers Jeju United FC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our predicted score is Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Jeju World Cup Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
