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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Incheon United v Jeju United FC: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Sungui Arena Park
1–0
FT
Incheon United 44%Draw 27%Jeju United FC 28% Expected goals 1.33 – 0.98
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Jeju United FC to win @ 3.90 – our chance 28% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIncheon United to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Incheon United vs Jeju United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jeju United FC travel to face Incheon United on Saturday 25 April in the K League 1, with Sungui Arena Park the venue – the ball rolls at 08:30 WAT. In the table, Incheon United are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Jeju United FC are 7th with 48. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Incheon United, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jeonbuk Motors, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Jeju United FC, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Daejeon Citizen, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Incheon United 1.3 xG, Jeju United FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Incheon United 44%, draw 27%, Jeju United FC 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Jeju United FC to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Incheon United 1–0 Jeju United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Incheon United44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.20
Jeju United FC28%fair 3.54 · @3.90
2.32Expected goals
1.33Incheon United xG
0.98Jeju United FC xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Incheon United 1.3 – 1.0 Jeju United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIncheon United to win ✓44%2.262.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.93
Draw no betIncheon United (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapJeju United FC +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.501.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scoreIncheon United to score first ✓52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Incheon United / FT Incheon United ✗26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.61–

Recent results

Incheon United – last 6

WDLWWL
21 Apr@ Jeonbuk Motors2–1W
18 Apr@ Bucheon FC 19952–2D
11 Aprvs Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2L
5 Aprvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–1W
22 Mar@ FC Anyang1–0W
18 Marvs Daejeon Citizen1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Jeju United FC – last 6

WDWWDL
22 Apr@ Daejeon Citizen1–0W
18 Aprvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1D
11 Apr@ Pohang Steelers2–0W
4 Aprvs Bucheon FC 19951–0W
22 Mar@ Gangwon FC1–1D
18 Marvs Ulsan Hyundai FC0–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Incheon United and Jeju United FC.

Incheon United vs Jeju United FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

On our numbers Incheon United have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Jeju United FC 28%.

How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–0 Jeju United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

Incheon United vs Jeju United FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.