Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDaejeon Citizen to win ✓55% · @1.75
Double chanceDaejeon Citizen or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 2 May the K League 1 brings Gwangju FC against Daejeon Citizen at Gwangju Football Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Gwangju FC are 12th on 23 points after 35 matches; Daejeon Citizen are 3rd with 53. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gwangju FC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to FC Anyang, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Daejeon Citizen, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Ulsan Hyundai FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Daejeon Citizen, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Gwangju FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gwangju FC 1.0 xG, Daejeon Citizen 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gwangju FC 19%, draw 25%, Daejeon Citizen 55%.
Lower-risk option: Daejeon Citizen or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gwangju FC 1–1 Daejeon Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gwangju FC19%fair 5.18 · @4.75
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.45
Daejeon Citizen55%fair 1.80 · @1.75
2.69Expected goals
0.99Gwangju FC xG
1.70Daejeon Citizen xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Gwangju FC 1.0 – 1.7 Daejeon Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Daejeon Citizen to win✓
55%
1.80
1.75
Double chance
Daejeon Citizen or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Daejeon Citizen (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Gwangju FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Daejeon Citizen to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Daejeon Citizen / FT Daejeon Citizen✓
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Gwangju FC – last 6
LLLLLL
26 Apr
vs FC Anyang
2–5
L
22 Apr
@ Pohang Steelers
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Ulsan Hyundai FC
1–5
L
11 Apr
vs Bucheon FC 1995
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Gangwon FC
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ FC Seoul
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Daejeon Citizen – last 6
WLWLLL
26 Apr
@ Ulsan Hyundai FC
4–1
W
22 Apr
vs Jeju United FC
0–1
L
18 Apr
@ FC Seoul
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Gangwon FC
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Pohang Steelers
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gwangju FC and Daejeon Citizen.
What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Citizen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Citizen?
On our numbers Gwangju FC have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Daejeon Citizen 55%.
How many goals will there be in Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Citizen?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Citizen?
Our predicted score is Gwangju FC 1–1 Daejeon Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Citizen?
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Citizen (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Gwangju Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
