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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Daejeon World Cup Stadium

Daejeon Citizen

WWLWL
0–0
FT

Incheon United

LWWDL
Daejeon Citizen 45%Draw 27%Incheon United 28% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.03
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultDaejeon Citizen to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Daejeon Citizen welcome Incheon United to Daejeon World Cup Stadium for a K League 1 fixture on Tuesday 5 May (08:30 WAT). In the table, Daejeon Citizen are 3rd on 53 points after 35 matches; Incheon United are 6th with 49.

Current form

Daejeon Citizen, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Gwangju FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Incheon United, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gangwon FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Incheon United 1–3 Daejeon Citizen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Daejeon Citizen 1.4 xG, Incheon United 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Daejeon Citizen 45%, draw 27%, Incheon United 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Daejeon Citizen 1–1 Incheon United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Daejeon Citizen45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.30
Incheon United28%fair 3.54 · @3.50
2.44Expected goals
1.41Daejeon Citizen xG
1.03Incheon United xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–09%

From our goals model: Daejeon Citizen 1.4 – 1.0 Incheon United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDaejeon Citizen to win ✗45%2.222.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.901.83
Draw no betDaejeon Citizen (draw no bet)61%1.63–
Asian handicapIncheon United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.431.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.08
First team to scoreDaejeon Citizen to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Daejeon Citizen / FT Daejeon Citizen ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.22–

Recent results

Daejeon Citizen – last 6

WWLWLL
2 May@ Gwangju FC5–0W
26 Apr@ Ulsan Hyundai FC4–1W
22 Aprvs Jeju United FC0–1L
18 Apr@ FC Seoul1–0W
12 Aprvs Gangwon FC0–2L
4 Apr@ Pohang Steelers0–1L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Incheon United – last 6

LWWDLW
2 Mayvs Gangwon FC0–1L
25 Aprvs Jeju United FC1–0W
21 Apr@ Jeonbuk Motors2–1W
18 Apr@ Bucheon FC 19952–2D
11 Aprvs Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2L
5 Aprvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen1–3
Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub
– Bucheon FC 19950 Jeju United FC0 134%2.60X28%2.95238%2.90 1.1–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.55
– Jeonbuk Motors1 Gwangju FC0 167%1.30X21%4.60213%12.00 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25
FT Gangwon FC1 Pohang Steelers1 147%2.10X28%3.10226%3.65 1.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Gimcheon Sangmu FC1 Ulsan Hyundai FC2 137%2.62X26%3.35237%2.60 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT FC Seoul0 FC Anyang0 161%1.73X23%3.55217%4.80 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

On our numbers Daejeon Citizen have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Incheon United 28%.

How many goals will there be in Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

Our predicted score is Daejeon Citizen 1–1 Incheon United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United (K League 1) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Daejeon World Cup Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.