Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Incheon United Prediction & Expected Goals (9 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗38% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.22

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:30 WAT, Saturday 9 May: Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Incheon United in the K League 1, played at Gimcheon Stadium. In the table, Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th on 38 points after 35 matches; Incheon United are 6th with 49.

Current form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ulsan Hyundai FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Incheon United, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Daejeon Citizen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Incheon United 2–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.1 xG, Incheon United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gimcheon Sangmu FC 38%, draw 28%, Incheon United 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Incheon United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimcheon Sangmu FC38%fair 2.63 · @2.25

Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.25

Incheon United34%fair 2.97 · @3.10

2.25Expected goals

1.13Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG

1.11Incheon United xG

57%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–112%

0–011%

2–18%

1–27%

From our goals model: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.1 – 1.1 Incheon United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗	38%	2.63	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	72%	1.40	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.74	1.77
Draw no bet	Gimcheon Sangmu FC (draw no bet) ✗	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Incheon United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.74	1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	1.08
First team to score	Gimcheon Sangmu FC to score first ✗	45%	2.22	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.13	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FT Gimcheon Sangmu FC ✗	20%	4.91	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	13.22	–

Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 6

LWWLDD

5 May	vs Ulsan Hyundai FC	1–2	L
2 May	@ FC Seoul	3–2	W
25 Apr	@ Bucheon FC 1995	2–0	W
21 Apr	vs Gangwon FC	0–3	L
18 Apr	@ Jeju United FC	1–1	D
12 Apr	vs FC Anyang	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Incheon United – last 6

DLWWDL

5 May	@ Daejeon Citizen	0–0	D
2 May	vs Gangwon FC	0–1	L
25 Apr	vs Jeju United FC	1–0	W
21 Apr	@ Jeonbuk Motors	2–1	W
18 Apr	@ Bucheon FC 1995	2–2	D
11 Apr	vs Ulsan Hyundai FC	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	33	20	7	6	+32	67
2	Ulsan Hyundai FC	33	15	6	12	+5	51
3	Daejeon Citizen	33	13	10	10	+12	49
4	Jeonbuk Motors	33	12	12	9	+10	48
5	Gangwon FC	33	11	15	7	+10	48
6	Incheon United	33	12	10	11	+8	46
7	Jeju United FC	33	12	10	11	+2	46
8	FC Anyang	33	10	13	10	-8	43
9	Pohang Steelers	33	11	9	13	-9	42
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	33	5	19	9	-8	34
11	Bucheon FC 1995	33	7	11	15	-15	32
12	Gwangju FC	33	3	12	18	-39	21

Team

Pts

+32

+12

+10

+10

-8

-9

-8

-15

-39

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United?

On our numbers Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Incheon United 34%.

How many goals will there be in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United?

Our predicted score is Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Incheon United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United?

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimcheon Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Incheon United: numbers & prediction