Double chanceGimcheon Sangmu FC or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 22 July the K League 1 brings Gwangju FC against Gimcheon Sangmu FC at Gwangju Football Stadium. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Gwangju FC are 12th on 23 points after 35 matches; Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gwangju FC, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Anyang, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gangwon FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Gwangju FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gwangju FC 1.1 xG, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gwangju FC 23%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 50%.
Lower-risk option: Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gwangju FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gwangju FC23%fair 4.26 · @4.40
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.50
Gimcheon Sangmu FC50%fair 2.01 · @1.80
2.53Expected goals
1.09Gwangju FC xG
1.44Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Gwangju FC 1.1 – 1.4 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
On our numbers Gwangju FC have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 50%.
How many goals will there be in Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our predicted score is Gwangju FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Gwangju Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.