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Gwangju FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Gwangju Football Stadium
1–1
FT
Gwangju FC 23%Draw 27%Gimcheon Sangmu FC 50% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.44
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗50% · @1.80
Double chanceGimcheon Sangmu FC or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13

Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 22 July the K League 1 brings Gwangju FC against Gimcheon Sangmu FC at Gwangju Football Stadium. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Gwangju FC are 12th on 23 points after 35 matches; Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gwangju FC, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Anyang, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gangwon FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Gwangju FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gwangju FC 1.1 xG, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gwangju FC 23%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 50%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw (77%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gwangju FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gwangju FC23%fair 4.26 · @4.40
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.50
Gimcheon Sangmu FC50%fair 2.01 · @1.80
2.53Expected goals
1.09Gwangju FC xG
1.44Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Gwangju FC 1.1 – 1.4 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗50%2.011.80
Double chanceGimcheon Sangmu FC or draw ✓77%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.971.83
Draw no betGimcheon Sangmu FC (draw no bet)68%1.47–
Asian handicapGwangju FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.09
First team to scoreGimcheon Sangmu FC to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FT Gimcheon Sangmu FC ✗26%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.13–

Recent results

Gwangju FC – last 6

DLDLDL
19 Jul@ FC Anyang1–1D
11 Julvs Pohang Steelers0–3L
5 Julvs Ulsan Hyundai FC1–1D
12 Mayvs FC Seoul0–1L
9 Mayvs Gangwon FC0–0D
2 Mayvs Daejeon Citizen0–5L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 6

LDDLDL
18 Jul@ Gangwon FC0–2L
11 Julvs Bucheon FC 19951–1D
5 Julvs Jeju United FC1–1D
17 May@ Jeonbuk Motors0–1L
13 May@ FC Anyang2–2D
9 Mayvs Incheon United0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Gwangju FC1–1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

On our numbers Gwangju FC have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 50%.

How many goals will there be in Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Our predicted score is Gwangju FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Gwangju Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.