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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Daejeon Citizen: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Gimcheon Stadium

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

DLDDL
3–2
FT

Daejeon Citizen

DDDDL
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 31%Draw 26%Daejeon Citizen 43% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.33
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultDaejeon Citizen to win ✗43% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gimcheon Sangmu FC welcome Daejeon Citizen to Gimcheon Stadium for a K League 1 fixture on Saturday 25 July (11:30 WAT). In the table, Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th on 38 points after 35 matches; Daejeon Citizen are 3rd with 53. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gwangju FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Daejeon Citizen, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Jeonbuk Motors, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Daejeon Citizen 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.1 xG, Daejeon Citizen 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gimcheon Sangmu FC 31%, draw 26%, Daejeon Citizen 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Daejeon Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimcheon Sangmu FC31%fair 3.24 · @2.85
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.35
Daejeon Citizen43%fair 2.35 · @2.38
2.41Expected goals
1.08Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
1.33Daejeon Citizen xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.1 – 1.3 Daejeon Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDaejeon Citizen to win ✗43%2.352.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.67
Draw no betDaejeon Citizen (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapGimcheon Sangmu FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.141.11
First team to scoreDaejeon Citizen to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Daejeon Citizen / FT Daejeon Citizen ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.64–

Recent results

Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 6

DLDDLD
22 Jul@ Gwangju FC1–1D
18 Jul@ Gangwon FC0–2L
11 Julvs Bucheon FC 19951–1D
5 Julvs Jeju United FC1–1D
17 May@ Jeonbuk Motors0–1L
13 May@ FC Anyang2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Daejeon Citizen – last 6

DDDDLL
21 Jul@ Jeonbuk Motors0–0D
18 Julvs Ulsan Hyundai FC2–2D
12 Jul@ Jeju United FC0–0D
4 Julvs Bucheon FC 19952–2D
16 Mayvs FC Seoul1–2L
12 May@ Gangwon FC0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Daejeon Citizen v Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub
FT Pohang Steelers0 Jeonbuk Motors2 131%3.10X27%3.10242%2.35 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen?

On our numbers Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Daejeon Citizen 43%.

How many goals will there be in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen?

Our predicted score is Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Daejeon Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen?

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimcheon Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.