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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pohang Steelers v Gimcheon Sangmu FC: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Pohang Steel Yard
Pohang Steelers 42%Draw 27%Gimcheon Sangmu FC 31% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.05
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win @ 3.75 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPohang Steelers to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.31

Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gimcheon Sangmu FC travel to face Pohang Steelers on Saturday 1 August in the K League 1, with Pohang Steel Yard the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT. In the table, Pohang Steelers are 9th on 44 points after 35 matches; Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38.

Current form

Pohang Steelers, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Jeonbuk Motors, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Suwon City FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Gimcheon Sangmu FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Pohang Steelers.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Pohang Steelers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pohang Steelers 1.2 xG, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pohang Steelers 42%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pohang Steelers 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pohang Steelers42%fair 2.38 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.25
Gimcheon Sangmu FC31%fair 3.28 · @3.75
2.28Expected goals
1.23Pohang Steelers xG
1.05Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Pohang Steelers 1.2 – 1.0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPohang Steelers to win ✗42%2.382.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.85
Draw no betPohang Steelers (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapGimcheon Sangmu FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.07
First team to scorePohang Steelers to score first ✗48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pohang Steelers / FT Pohang Steelers ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.31–

Recent results

Pohang Steelers – last 6

LLLWWL
25 Julvs Jeonbuk Motors0–2L
22 Jul@ FC Seoul1–3L
18 Jul@ Jeju United FC1–2L
11 Jul@ Gwangju FC3–0W
4 Jul@ FC Anyang3–2W
17 May@ Bucheon FC 19950–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 6

WWDLDD
29 Julvs Suwon City FC2–1W
25 Julvs Daejeon Citizen3–2W
22 Jul@ Gwangju FC1–1D
18 Jul@ Gangwon FC0–2L
11 Julvs Bucheon FC 19951–1D
5 Julvs Jeju United FC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Pohang Steelers1–1
Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

On our numbers Pohang Steelers have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 31%.

How many goals will there be in Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Our predicted score is Pohang Steelers 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Pohang Steel Yard.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.